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Danske Bank

May 13, 2026

Global Inflation Watch

Market ReportMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesEnergyIndustrials

Global inflation remains persistent as a US shelter price surprise and rising energy costs in Europe offset stable core figures. Meanwhile, China's PPI recovery signals it is becoming an inflationary force globally.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.US April CPI surprised to the upside, reaching 3.8% y/y, primarily driven by a surge in shelter inflation (rental and OER prices).
  • 2.Euro area inflation rose to 3.0% y/y in April, though core inflation eased to 2.2%, indicating that energy is the primary driver while underlying pressures remain contained.
  • 3.China is transitioning from a global deflationary force to an inflationary one as PPI inflation increased to 2.8% y/y and is projected to reach 7% by summer.

Table of Contents

  • Top down overview
  • Country details - US
  • Used car prices
  • Redent of shelter
  • Lodging away from home (hotels etc.)
  • Food away from home (restaurants etc.)
  • Public transportation (airfares etc.)
  • Furniture
  • Country details – Euro area
  • Country details – China
  • Disclosures

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Authors

Antti IlvonenRune Thyge JohansenAllan von Mehren

Securities

OilConsumer Price Index (CPI)

Themes

China's Transition to Inflationary ForceShelter-Driven Inflation PersistenceEnergy Price Pass-Through

Regions

EuropeNorth AmericaAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaIran