Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank
July 3, 2026
Japan Q&A: Why Has the JPY Depreciated So Much
Macro ThematicFXOther
This report argues that JPY depreciation is driven by a lack of domestic investment compared to the US, rather than interest rate differentials alone. The authors support the administration's focus on public-private investment over immediate monetary tightening to strengthen the yen.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The primary drivers of JPY weakness are the Japan-US interest rate differential and a significant disparity in public-private strategic investment momentum, particularly in AI.
- 2.The government is prioritizing 'Sananomics' (expanding domestic investment) over rapid JPY appreciation, viewing monetary tightening to force currency strength as a policy mistake.
Table of Contents
- Japan Q&A: why has the JPY depreciated so much?
- Macro Research advanced tools
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Authors
Takuji AidaKen Matsumoto
Securities
USDJPY
Themes
BoJ Monetary PolicyInvestment-led growth (Sananomics)
Regions
Asia PacificNorth AmericaJapanUnited States
