Fast FX Fair Value Model

Weekly UpdateFX

The FAST FX model has triggered a long EUR/USD trade following a decline in the pair's valuation relative to its fair value model. The report provides ongoing monitoring of fair value metrics for major currency pairs.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The FAST FX model triggered a new long EUR/USD trade due to the pair becoming significantly undervalued.
  • 2.The FAST FX model portfolio performance shows a 12M rolling return of -5.32% and a hit ratio of 41%.

Table of Contents

  • FAST FX Fair Value Model
  • Short-term fair value charts
  • EUR/SEK
  • NZD/USD
  • EUR/JPY
  • NOK/SEK
  • t-statistic charts
  • USD/CAD primary model t-statistics
  • USD/CAD secondary model t-statistics
  • EUR/NOK primary model t-statistics
  • EUR/NOK secondary model t-statistics
  • EUR/SEK primary model t-statistics
  • EUR/SEK secondary model t-statistics
  • NZD/USD primary model t-statistics
  • NZD/USD secondary models t-statistics
  • EUR/JPY primary model t-statistics
  • EUR/JPY secondary models t-statistics
  • NOK/SEK primary model t-statistics
  • NOK/SEK secondary models t-statistics
  • Historical trade performance
  • Red Mount Analytics

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Authors

Valentin MarinovDavid Forrester

Securities

EURUSDUSD/CAD

Themes

Mean ReversionQuantitative FX Strategy

Regions

GlobalUnited StatesJapanCanada