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Berenberg

June 11, 2026

US AI Investment Boom Cannot Sustain Rapid Growth

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsInformation Technology

The current US investment boom in AI is driven by imported hardware, leading to minimal domestic GDP impact. As consumer spending wanes, growth is expected to slow to 1.5% yoy.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The surge in US AI-related tech investment is primarily directed toward imported hardware, resulting in negligible net positive impact on domestic GDP.
  • 2.US economic growth is expected to decelerate from approximately 2% year-over-year to 1.5% due to stalled population growth and limited real income gains.

Table of Contents

  • US: AI investment boom cannot sustain rapid growth

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