Berenberg
June 6, 2026
Germany Where Is The Stimulus
Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsIndustrials
The German economy has remained largely stagnant for six years, weighed down by a 12.1% drop in private investment. While substantial public stimulus is now flowing into defense and infrastructure, achieving future growth requires structural reforms to reinvigorate the private sector.
Key Takeaways
- 1.German public investment has surged since 2023, driven by military and infrastructure funds, but private investment remains depressed.
- 2.The German economy has experienced stagnant growth for six years, with private investment down 12.1% against 2019 levels.
- 3.Fiscal stimulus is expected to add 0.3ppt to GDP growth in 2026, with further impacts expected through 2029.
Table of Contents
- What is the problem?
- Where is the stimulus?
- First progress report
- Assessing the impact
- Supply matters more than demand
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Authors
Holger SchmiedingFelix SchmidtAndrew Wishart
Themes
Fiscal StimulusStructural Economic Stagnation
Regions
EuropeGermany
