Bank of America
May 22, 2026
The Flow Show Ground Control to Major TAM
Weekly UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsRates CreditInformation TechnologyFinancials
BofA's Bull & Bear Indicator has hit a 8.0 'sell' threshold, signaling extreme bullishness and potential for a near-term correction in risk assets. Market concentration in AI-linked stocks has reached historic bubble proportions while EM currencies show increasing signs of stress.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The BofA Bull & Bear Indicator has reached 8.0, triggering a contrarian sell signal for risk assets.
- 2.Market concentration in the 'AI Big 10' has reached ~48%, surpassing historical levels seen in the 1920s, Nifty 50, and the TMT bubble.
- 3.Emerging Market currencies (INR, IDR) are reaching record lows, signaling potential risk-off shifts as the global cost of capital rises.
Table of Contents
- Scores on the Doors
- The Biggest Picture
- The Price is Right
- Tale of the Tape
- Weekly Flows
- Flows to Know
- BofA Private Clients
- BofA Bull & Bear Indicator
- A Short History of IPOs
- Wealth-Price spiral not Wage-Price spiral
- London client feedback
- Asset Class Flows
- Fixed Income Flows
- Equity Flows
- BofA private client flows & allocations
- The Asset Class Quilt of Total Returns
- BofA Rules & Tools
- BofA Bull & Bear Indicator (B&B)
- 2026 Cross-Asset Winners & Losers
- Acronyms
- Disclosures
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Authors
Michael HartnettAnya ShelekhinMyung-jee JungJessica Guo
Securities
SPXUS 10-Year TreasuryBABABTC
Themes
Contrarian Sell SignalsMarket Concentration & BubblesEM FragilityWealth-Price Spiral
Regions
GlobalNorth AmericaEuropeUnited StatesChinaIndia
