Bank of America
May 20, 2026
Morning Market Tidbits: Tariff Refund Tap Starts To Flow
Daily UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsEnergy
Tariff refunds to importers are flowing faster than expected, totaling $13bn so far, which may act as a modest disinflationary force. Meanwhile, US 2Q GDP tracking remains steady at 2.6% q/q saar.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Tariff refunds are being issued faster than anticipated, creating upside risks to the near-term US deficit.
- 2.These refunds may act as a disinflationary force by helping importers offset high energy and shipping costs.
- 3.The market focus for the day is on the FOMC minutes, which are expected to maintain a hawkish stance.
Table of Contents
- Key takeaways
- What Matters Today: Tariff refunds have started to flow back to importers
- Refunds are flowing out fast
- And will provide another buffer to gas prices
- US GDP tracking
- Today's economic calendar
- Important Disclosures
- Other Important Disclosures
- General Investment Related Disclosures
- Copyright and General Information
- Research Analysts
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Authors
Stephen JuneauAditya BhaveShruti MishraMatthew Yep
Themes
Tariff Refund LiquidityUS GDP TrackingMonetary Policy Hawkishness
Regions
North AmericaUnited States
