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Bank of America

May 11, 2026

Morning Market Tidbits

Daily UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsOther

BofA has significantly pushed back its forecast for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts to late 2027, citing sticky inflation and a strengthening labor market.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Fed is no longer expected to cut interest rates in 2026; the first two cuts are now pushed to July-September 2027.
  • 2.Inflation remains stubbornly above target with additional risks from oil price pass-throughs.
  • 3.The labor market is showing resilience with solid jobs reports and range-bound unemployment, reducing downside risks.

Table of Contents

  • Key takeaways
  • What Matters Today: This time really is different for the labor market
  • Fed: no cuts this year
  • US GDP Tracking
  • Today's economic calendar

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Authors

Antonio GabrielAditya BhaveStephen Juneau

Themes

Monetary Policy Hawkish ShiftLabor Market ResilienceInflation Persistence

Regions

North AmericaUnited States