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Bank of America

June 11, 2026

Canada Watch

Macro ThematicRates Govt BondsEnergy

The Bank of Canada maintained its policy rate at 2.25% on June 10, 2026, as it grapples with a weakening economy and inflation risks. BofA analysts anticipate the bank will remain on hold at this level through the end of 2026.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Bank of Canada held the policy rate at 2.25% in its June 10 meeting, reflecting a balance between weak economic activity and persistent inflation risks.
  • 2.BofA projects the BoC will keep the policy rate on hold at 2.25% through 2026.

Table of Contents

  • Key takeaways
  • The BoC held the policy rate at 2.25%
  • BoC's forward guidance: "ready to respond as needed"
  • Canada faces a dilemma amid uncertainty
  • BoC: Hold through 2026 remains our baseline
  • Rates: Markets decreasing BoC hikes relative to Fed hikes

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Authors

Carlos CapistranRalph AxelKatie Craig

Securities

CAD Policy Rate

Themes

Monetary Policy DivergenceStagflationary Dilemma

Regions

North AmericaMiddle EastCanadaUnited States