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Bank of America

May 20, 2026

A Banner Quarter For US Profits

Market ReportEquitiesFXRates Govt BondsInformation TechnologyFinancials

BofA reports that 1Q26 earnings are tracking at 26% YoY growth, the highest since 2021, with strong guidance ratios suggesting a robust outlook despite geopolitical tensions.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.S&P 500 1Q EPS growth is tracking 26% YoY, representing the highest growth rate since 2021.
  • 2.EPS guidance has been robust, with a 1.6x ratio of above-consensus to below-consensus guides.
  • 3.Consensus 2026 EPS growth expectations have risen significantly to 22%, driven by AI and commodity tailwinds.

Table of Contents

  • Key takeaways
  • Broad-based beat, with strong revisions & guidance
  • Recent Publications
  • Hard data: guidance trends supportive...
  • AI arms race alive and well
  • Mixed consumer outlook amid higher gas
  • Notable Rates and FX Research
  • Rates, FX & EM trades for 2026
  • Disclosures
  • Research Analysts

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Authors

Savita SubramanianVictoria RoloffOliver Levingston

Securities

SPXAMZNMETAMSFTNVDA

Themes

AI Infrastructure InvestmentK-Shaped Consumer RecoveryGeopolitical Sentiment Headwinds

Regions

North AmericaGlobalUnited States