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ANZ

July 3, 2026

New Zealand Weekly Data Wrap

Weekly UpdateFXRates Govt BondsEnergyReal Estate

ANZ anticipates a 25bp hike to the RBNZ OCR to 2.50% next week, citing persistent inflation risks and stimulatory policy settings. Economic indicators show an improving trend in business and consumer confidence.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.ANZ expects the RBNZ to hike the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25bp to 2.50% at its upcoming meeting.
  • 2.Economic recovery in New Zealand appears more established with improving business confidence and consumer sentiment.

Table of Contents

  • ANZ Proprietary data
  • Key forecasts and rates
  • July Monetary Policy Review: a nail biter
  • NZ Economic News
  • Data calendar
  • Interest rate markets
  • FX markets
  • The week ahead
  • Key Forecasts and Rates
  • Meet the team

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Authors

Sharon ZollnerDavid CroyMatt DillyMiles WorkmanMatthew Galt

Securities

New Zealand Official Cash Rate

Themes

Economic RecoveryMonetary Policy Tightening

Regions

Asia PacificGlobalNew ZealandUnited States