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July 3, 2026

Australian Morning Focus

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesFXEnergyFinancials

The US labor market showed significant softening in June with payroll growth of only 57k and a 50-year low in participation. This data shift has bolstered precious metals and eased expectations for near-term Fed rate hikes.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.US nonfarm payrolls rose by only 57k in June, significantly below expectations, with downward revisions to previous months.
  • 2.The US labour force participation rate fell to 61.5%, its lowest level in 50 years, suggesting potential underlying labor market weakness.
  • 3.Softer US economic data has dampened expectations for imminent Fed rate hikes, supporting precious metals and weighing on the USD.

Table of Contents

  • Highlights
  • Today (AEST)
  • Global markets overview
  • Data/event pulse
  • Key themes and views
  • Market at 6:45am today
  • Key data releases
  • What's ahead today
  • Commodities

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Authors

Jack ChambersBrian MartinDaniel Hynes

Securities

S&P 500US 10y Treasury

Themes

AI-Driven InvestmentInflation OutlookUS Labor Market Weakness

Regions

GlobalEuropeMiddle EastUnited StatesAustraliaChina