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Westpac

July 13, 2026

Australia & New Zealand Weekly

Weekly UpdateFXMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsEnergyReal Estate

This report outlines Westpac's updated economic forecasts for Australia and New Zealand, highlighting the RBA's hawkish stance and the RBNZ's unexpected rate hike. It also notes a shift in the timing of anticipated interest rate cuts due to a revised inflation outlook.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The RBA remains hawkish near term with increased conviction for an August rate hike, while rate cuts are now forecasted to start sooner, in August 2027.
  • 2.The RBNZ unexpectedly raised the OCR by 25bps to 2.50%, with further hikes projected to reach a peak of 4% by September 2027.

Table of Contents

  • Economic Insight
  • The Week That Was
  • Focus on New Zealand
  • Forecast changes
  • What to watch
  • Economic & financial forecasts
  • Corporate Directory

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Authors

Luci EllisElliot Clarke

Securities

AUDUSDBrent Oil

Themes

Central Bank TighteningEnergy Market VolatilityInflation Persistence

Regions

Asia PacificMiddle EastEuropeAustraliaNew ZealandUnited States