Westpac McDermott Miller Employment Confidence

Quarterly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

New Zealand employment confidence dropped to a record low of 83.1 in the June 2026 quarter, reflecting broad-based pessimism about job security, earnings, and opportunities following the Iran conflict.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Employment Confidence Index fell to a record low of 83.1 in Q2 2026 due to the impact of the Iran conflict on the labour market.
  • 2.Labour market outlook shows renewed softness, with expectations for unemployment to reach a cyclical peak of 5.6% by the end of 2026.

Table of Contents

  • Summary
  • Employment Confidence Indices
  • Job opportunities
  • Earnings growth
  • Job security
  • Regional confidence
  • Technical details

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Authors

Michael Gordon

Themes

Labor market coolingGeopolitical impact of Iran conflictCost of living and real wage pressure

Regions

Asia PacificMiddle EastNew ZealandIranUnited States