Consumer Panel Q1 2026

Quarterly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsConsumer DiscretionaryConsumer Staples

Q1 2026 saw Australian consumer spending growth stall as households reallocated funds to cover a massive spike in fuel and utility costs. While savings buffers remain high for mortgage holders, they are beginning to erode, particularly among young and middle-income cohorts.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Australian consumer spending growth slowed to 0.6% in Q1 2026, driven by a sharp reallocation from discretionary categories to essential items like fuel and utilities.
  • 2.Household savings accumulation is slowing down, with the share of customers relying on savings (consecutive drawdowns) reaching its highest level in two years for under-65s.
  • 3.Mortgage holders maintain significant buffers (averaging 22.6 months of essential expenses), but these buffers are beginning to erode as mortgage repayments and food costs rise.

Table of Contents

  • Signs of caution emerging
  • Who is hurting the most?
  • Where are they substituting from?
  • Are consumers drawing from their savings?
  • How are mortgagors placed to weather this?
  • What does this mean for the RBA?
  • About the Westpac-DataX Consumer Panel

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Authors

Illiana JainNeha Sharma

Themes

Consumer Reallocation vs. RetrenchmentSavings Buffer ErosionImpact of Middle East Conflict on Oil/Fuel

Regions

Asia PacificAustralia