Leading Index Bulletin

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The Westpac-MI Leading Index growth rate fell to -0.17% in April, signaling below-trend growth for the Australian economy into 2027. This weakening is primarily attributed to a sharp 20% decline in consumer sentiment alongside persistent interest rate and energy price shocks.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Westpac-MI Leading Index growth rate weakened to –0.17%, indicating below-trend economic momentum.
  • 2.Consumer sentiment is the primary driver of the decline, with the Consumer Expectations Index slumping 20% from its recent peak.
  • 3.While financial market indicators are weak, 'real economy' indicators like hours worked and US industrial production remain firm.

Table of Contents

  • Key points
  • Leading Index showing clearer loss of momentum
  • Corporate Directory
  • DISCLAIMER

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Authors

Matthew HassanLuci Ellis

Securities

Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading IndexWestpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Expectations Index

Themes

Economic MomentumMonetary Policy TighteningConsumer Sentiment Weakness

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaAustraliaUnited States