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UBS

July 14, 2026

Türkiye: Stepping Back From The TRY Carry Trade

Macro ThematicFX

UBS has shifted its stance on the Turkish lira, moving from a favorable carry trade position to a neutral or off-recommendation stance. The firm now identifies more attractive carry potential in the South African rand, Brazilian real, and Mexican peso.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.UBS no longer recommends adding allocations to the Turkish lira (TRY) against the US dollar.
  • 2.The firm prefers diversified exposure to higher-yielding emerging market currencies such as the South African rand, Brazilian real, and Mexican peso.

Table of Contents

  • Türkiye: Stepping back from the TRY carry trade
  • Investing in emerging markets
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix

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