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UBS

June 22, 2026

Should Investors Worry About Private Credit

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UBS maintains a neutral view on private credit, citing rising default rates in lower-middle-market segments and the need for investor selectivity. The firm suggests balancing private credit exposure with broader alternative strategies.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Private credit maintains a balanced risk-return outlook with rising risks in lower-middle-market segments.
  • 2.Investors should adopt a selective approach focusing on senior, sponsor-backed, upper-middle-market loans.

Table of Contents

  • Private credit investors have been worried about several recent developments.
  • Late-cycle dynamics and an increasingly split market support a selective approach.
  • Diversifying across alternative assets makes sense amid the current uncertainty.
  • New this week
  • One liner
  • Did you know?
  • Investment view
  • Appendix
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Karim CherifAntoinette ZuidwegRichard HuangMatthew Carter

Securities

Ares Management ABF Fund

Themes

Private Credit Risk and SelectivityIlliquidity Management

Regions

Global