UBS recommends a short position on CHFZAR, targeting 19.9, based on improved market sentiment from potential US-Iran diplomatic progress and attractive interest rate differentials. Concurrently, the firm has closed its tactical long position in USD/MXN.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The analysts recommend buying the South African rand against the Swiss franc with a target of 19.9 and stop-loss at 21.
- 2.The South African rand is supported by positive risk sentiment linked to a potential US-Iran deal and an attractive 7% interest rate carry.
- 3.UBS is closing its long USD/MXN tactical position at a modest loss due to shifting risk-reward profiles.
Table of Contents
- Short-term opportunity: Short CHFZAR
- Closure of USD/MXN
- Appendix
- Nontraditional Assets
- Global asset class preferences definitions
- Risk information
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Authors
Pietro SantinTilmann Kolb
Securities
CHF/ZARUSD/MXN
Themes
Carry TradeGeopolitical Risk
Regions
Middle EastSouth AfricaSwitzerlandUnited States
