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UBS

June 15, 2026

Short-Term Opportunity: Short CHFZAR

FX StrategyFXCommoditiesEnergyMaterials

UBS recommends a short position on CHFZAR, targeting 19.9, based on improved market sentiment from potential US-Iran diplomatic progress and attractive interest rate differentials. Concurrently, the firm has closed its tactical long position in USD/MXN.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The analysts recommend buying the South African rand against the Swiss franc with a target of 19.9 and stop-loss at 21.
  • 2.The South African rand is supported by positive risk sentiment linked to a potential US-Iran deal and an attractive 7% interest rate carry.
  • 3.UBS is closing its long USD/MXN tactical position at a modest loss due to shifting risk-reward profiles.

Table of Contents

  • Short-term opportunity: Short CHFZAR
  • Closure of USD/MXN
  • Appendix
  • Nontraditional Assets
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Risk information

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Authors

Pietro SantinTilmann Kolb

Securities

CHF/ZARUSD/MXN

Themes

Carry TradeGeopolitical Risk

Regions

Middle EastSouth AfricaSwitzerlandUnited States