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June 4, 2026

OCP S.A.: Lowest-Cost Producer of Phosphate-Based Fertilizer

Credit StrategyRates CreditCommoditiesMaterials

OCP S.A. is a dominant, low-cost phosphate producer benefiting from Morocco's vast reserves, though it currently faces margin compression from high raw material costs linked to Middle East instability.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.OCP S.A. is the world's third-largest fertilizer producer and the lowest-cost producer of phosphate rock, with exclusive access to 70% of global proven reserves.
  • 2.The global fertilizer market is structurally supply-constrained due to Chinese export restrictions and Middle East tensions, keeping prices elevated despite demand Destruction risks.
  • 3.Middle East conflicts have surged input costs (sulfur and ammonia), compressing OCP's margins and forcing production cuts as costs rise faster than fertilizer prices.

Table of Contents

  • Investment views
  • OCP: Leading low-cost fertilizer producer
  • Fertilizer industry outlook
  • Middle East a key supplier of fertilizers and raw materials
  • OCP's raw material exposure and response
  • 1Q26 key figures & operating performance
  • Fertilizer margins squeezed due to Middle East conflict
  • Financial impact and leverage risks
  • Key risks

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Authors

Santosh BukitgarTatiana Boroditskaya

Securities

OCPOCP S.A. 6.741% Perpetual BondOCP S.A. 7.368% Perpetual Bond

Themes

Geopolitical Impact on Commodity Supply ChainsVertical Integration as a Margin BufferStrategic Raw Material Sourcing

Regions

Middle EastAsia PacificEuropeMorocco