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UBS Switzerland AG

May 11, 2026

What to Watch in the Week Ahead

Weekly UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsCommoditiesInformation TechnologyConsumer Discretionary

The report analyzes the stalemate in US-Iran negotiations and its impact on oil prices, while highlighting upcoming tech earnings and central bank data as critical market drivers.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US-Iran peace agreement remains elusive after President Trump rejected recent proposals, maintaining pressure on global oil markets.
  • 2.Investors are monitoring key tech earnings (Applied Materials, Cisco, and NVIDIA) to assess the durability of AI spending and semiconductor demand.
  • 3.Central bank policy is in focus as markets gauge if energy price spikes will fuel inflation, potentially delaying expected rate cuts from the Fed.

Table of Contents

  • What to watch in the week ahead
  • Weekly Global
  • Can the US and Iran make progress toward a lasting peace?
  • Inflation, central banks, and bonds
  • Earnings
  • The Middle East conflict and oil
  • Will the finale to the first-quarter earnings season support the stock rally?
  • Will market worries over central bank tightening fade?
  • Chart of the week
  • Non-Traditional Assets
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix

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Authors

Mark Haefele

Securities

NVDAS&P 500Applied MaterialsCiscoBrent Crude OilXAU

Themes

Geopolitical StalemateAI Infrastructure SpendingCentral Bank Policy UncertaintyMarket Concentration Risk

Regions

North AmericaMiddle EastAsia PacificUnited StatesIranChina