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UBS Switzerland AG

May 11, 2026

Swiss Economy in 20 Charts

Market ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXFinancialsIndustrials

UBS reports that the Swiss economy faces subpar growth of 0.7% in 2026 as Middle East tensions weigh on trade and energy prices. Despite market speculation, the SNB is expected to keep rates at 0% as inflation remains anchored.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Middle East conflict is the primary headwind for global and Swiss growth, leading to revised 2026 Swiss GDP growth forecasts down to 0.7%.
  • 2.The SNB is expected to maintain a stable policy rate at 0% for the next 12 months, diverging from market expectations of rate hikes.
  • 3.Swiss inflation is forecast to tick up slightly to 0.6% in 2026 due to higher oil prices, but it remains well within the SNB's target range.

Table of Contents

  • Global growth
  • Global inflation
  • Global monetary policy
  • Global interest rates
  • PMI Switzerland
  • Swiss growth
  • Swiss exports
  • Exportbarometer
  • UBS CFA Indicator
  • Swiss inflation and oil prices
  • Swiss inflation
  • Swiss unemployment
  • Swiss national budget
  • SNB
  • Swiss interest rates
  • Swiss swap rates
  • EURCHF
  • USDCHF
  • Swiss equities
  • Long-term performance of CHF asset classes

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Authors

Michael BolligerDaniel Kalt

Securities

SMISwiss 10-year Government BondEURCHFBrent Crude

Themes

Geopolitical Risk PropagationMonetary Policy Divergence

Regions

GlobalEuropeNorth AmericaSwitzerlandUnited StatesChina