UBS Switzerland AG
May 11, 2026
Swiss Economy in 20 Charts
Market ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXFinancialsIndustrials
UBS reports that the Swiss economy faces subpar growth of 0.7% in 2026 as Middle East tensions weigh on trade and energy prices. Despite market speculation, the SNB is expected to keep rates at 0% as inflation remains anchored.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The Middle East conflict is the primary headwind for global and Swiss growth, leading to revised 2026 Swiss GDP growth forecasts down to 0.7%.
- 2.The SNB is expected to maintain a stable policy rate at 0% for the next 12 months, diverging from market expectations of rate hikes.
- 3.Swiss inflation is forecast to tick up slightly to 0.6% in 2026 due to higher oil prices, but it remains well within the SNB's target range.
Table of Contents
- Global growth
- Global inflation
- Global monetary policy
- Global interest rates
- PMI Switzerland
- Swiss growth
- Swiss exports
- Exportbarometer
- UBS CFA Indicator
- Swiss inflation and oil prices
- Swiss inflation
- Swiss unemployment
- Swiss national budget
- SNB
- Swiss interest rates
- Swiss swap rates
- EURCHF
- USDCHF
- Swiss equities
- Long-term performance of CHF asset classes
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Authors
Michael BolligerDaniel Kalt
Securities
SMISwiss 10-year Government BondEURCHFBrent Crude
Themes
Geopolitical Risk PropagationMonetary Policy Divergence
Regions
GlobalEuropeNorth AmericaSwitzerlandUnited StatesChina
