TSL Lombard

June 18, 2026

BOE Holding With A Looser Grip

Rates StrategyRates Govt BondsCommoditiesEnergy

The Bank of England held rates at 3.75% as energy shocks dissipate faster than expected. Analysts foresee no further hikes this year due to weakening private sector wage pressure.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Bank of England maintained the Bank Rate at 3.75% with a 7-2 vote, reflecting a shift away from a hawkish stance.
  • 2.Energy prices have declined significantly below the BoE's previous stress-case scenarios, undermining the argument for inflation persistence.
  • 3.Weakening private sector wage growth suggests a reduced risk of a wage-price spiral, further complicating the case for additional rate hikes.

Table of Contents

  • BOE: HOLDING WITH A LOOSER GRIP
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Authors

Alexandros Xenofontos

Themes

Monetary Policy NormalizationEnergy Market Impact

Regions

EuropeUnited Kingdom