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TS Lombard

June 22, 2026

UK Political Risk Comes Online

Market ReportRates Govt BondsOther

Starmer's resignation has heightened political risk in the UK, threatening to offset benefits from a cooling external yield environment. Market stability for Gilts now hinges on the rapid appointment of a successor who remains committed to established fiscal rules.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The resignation of Keir Starmer has introduced idiosyncratic political risk to the UK, potentially keeping a risk premium in Gilts despite easing external yield pressures.
  • 2.Market performance of Gilts depends on the speed of the leadership transition and the fiscal signals sent by the incoming successor regarding the existing fiscal rules.

Table of Contents

  • UK POLITICAL RISK COMES ONLINE

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