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TS Lombard

May 20, 2026

AI Wins in Europe Too

Market ReportEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsInformation TechnologyIndustrials

European equities are underperforming broadly due to the Iran shock and Strait of Hormuz closure, but specific AI-focused baskets are matching Nasdaq returns. While defence and banks face cyclical pressure, European AI 'compute' and 'infra' names remain strong performance drivers.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.AI-related stocks are the primary engine of European equity growth, offsetting macro-driven underperformance caused by geopolitical tensions.
  • 2.The 'Iran shock' and closure of the Strait of Hormuz has shifted European equities from outperformance to underperformance relative to the US.
  • 3.Despite recent rotation away from defence stocks due to poor earnings and changing warfare dynamics, the long-term outlook for European defence remains bullish.

Table of Contents

  • Europe Watch
  • TAKING STOCK(S): AI WINS IN EUROPE, TOO!
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Davide OnegliaSadeem Al Gaaod

Securities

ASMLSTOXX 600Nasdaq

Themes

AI Thematic OutperformanceGeopolitical Disruption (Hormuz/Iran)Evolution of Military Technology

Regions

EuropeMiddle EastAsia PacificIranUnited StatesTaiwan