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TS Lombard

June 18, 2026

A Healthy Hike And Then Some More

Macro ThematicEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXEnergyInformation Technology

The report argues that the US economy warrants higher interest rates to manage demand and curb bubble risks associated with AI. A rate hike in 2026 is viewed as healthy, supporting a positive outlook for the US dollar.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US natural rate of interest is higher than the Fed anticipated, justifying a rate hike in 2026.
  • 2.The Fed is moving toward a more hawkish stance, which serves as a positive driver for the US Dollar.
  • 3.Market participants should focus on AI supply chains as the primary way to capture potential earnings growth from AI diffusion.

Table of Contents

  • A healthy hike... and then some more
  • US CORPORATE PROFI... 18 JUN 2026
  • US SAVINGS RATE... 18 JUN 2026
  • SAVINGS BUFFERS ARE NOT SPENDING SHIELDS
  • Disclaimer

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