SEB
May 10, 2026
Week Ahead
Weekly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesRates Govt BondsEnergyFinancials
This report previews key economic events for mid-May 2026, highlighting the impact of the Iran war on energy markets and inflation data across the US, Sweden, and Norway.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz are driving energy prices and market pricing for policy rates.
- 2.US CPI is expected to show core inflation rising by 0.3-0.4% in April, driven by rents and indirect energy price effects.
- 3.The Swedish Riksbank's May minutes are expected to show diverging views within the Board regarding inflation risks and the rate outlook.
Table of Contents
- Inflation, Riksbank's minutes and geopolitics
- Forecasts & publications
- Key Economic Indicators & Events: 11 – 17 May, 2026
- DEN: CPI (Apr)
- NOR: CPI (Apr)
- NOR: Government revised budget 2026
- US: CPI (Apr)
- NOR: Consumer confidence (Q2)
- SWE: CPI, final estimate (Apr)
- SWE: Riksbank Minutes
- US: Retail sales (April)
- US: Industrial production (Apr)
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Authors
Nils JervelandCecilia Kohonen
Securities
Government Pension Fund GlobalZillow Index
Themes
Geopolitical volatility and Energy pricesCentral Bank Forward GuidanceExpansionary Fiscal Policy in Norway
Regions
North AmericaEuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesSwedenNorway
