SEB logo
SEB

May 19, 2026

Oil Product Price Pain and the Strait of Hormuz Closure

Commodities StrategyCommoditiesEnergy

The continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz is driving a massive 10 mb/d global inventory drawdown, primarily impacting refined oil products. Despite verbal interventions to cool prices, Brent crude remains elevated near $110/b with further upside risk in fuel premiums.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Strait of Hormuz remains closed, causing global oil inventories to draw down by an estimated 9-10 mb/d.
  • 2.While crude markets are currently cushioned by SPR releases and lower refinery throughput, the real pain will be felt in refined products like jet fuel, diesel, and gasoline.
  • 3.Diplomatic efforts and verbal interventions by President Trump to cool the market have had diminishing effects as negotiations with Iran remain stagnant.

Table of Contents

  • Crude oil comment

Document Preview

Page 1 of 3
Page 1 of Oil Product Price Pain and the Strait of Hormuz Closure
Subscribe for full access

Access the Full Report

Get unlimited access to institutional research reports with a 14-day free trial.

Authors

Bjarne Schieldrop

Securities

Brent Crude M1Brent Crude 2027Jet Fuel Europe (ARA)

Themes

Geopolitical Energy RiskInventory Scarcity

Regions

Middle EastEuropeNorth AmericaIranUnited StatesUkraine
Oil Market Outlook: Strait of Hormuz Closure & Price Risks | Finvaulta