SEB
May 21, 2026
Norwegian Inflation Expectations Remain Worrisome
Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsOther
The Q2 Norwegian inflation survey shows a rise in both business CPI expectations and wage growth forecasts, supporting the case for Norges Bank to hike rates further to 4.50%.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Inflation expectations in the Q2 survey were revised higher, reinforcing concerns about persistent inflation.
- 2.Business leaders anticipate short-term CPI to average 4.1%, a worrisome indicator for domestic price setting.
- 3.Wage growth expectations for 2026 have risen to 4.5%, exceeding the 4.4% wage norm.
Table of Contents
- Inflation expectations remain worrisome
- Details:
- CPI expectations
- Wage growth
- Business profitability
- Implications Norges Bank
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Authors
Marthe EideErica Dalstø
Securities
Norges Bank Policy Rate
Themes
Inflation PersistenceWage-Price Dynamics
Regions
EuropeNorway
