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May 21, 2026

Norwegian Inflation Expectations Remain Worrisome

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsOther

The Q2 Norwegian inflation survey shows a rise in both business CPI expectations and wage growth forecasts, supporting the case for Norges Bank to hike rates further to 4.50%.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Inflation expectations in the Q2 survey were revised higher, reinforcing concerns about persistent inflation.
  • 2.Business leaders anticipate short-term CPI to average 4.1%, a worrisome indicator for domestic price setting.
  • 3.Wage growth expectations for 2026 have risen to 4.5%, exceeding the 4.4% wage norm.

Table of Contents

  • Inflation expectations remain worrisome
  • Details:
  • CPI expectations
  • Wage growth
  • Business profitability
  • Implications Norges Bank

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