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May 19, 2026

Lack of Progress in Iran Leads to Higher Interest Rates and Falling Stock Markets

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXEnergyFinancials

Global markets are under pressure as escalating tensions in Iran drive oil prices to $111/barrel and interest rates higher. Major indices fell 1-2% on Friday, with UK bond yields reaching levels not seen in decades due to fiscal and political uncertainty.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Lack of progress in the Iran conflict is driving up oil prices and interest rate expectations, leading to a sharp decline in global stock markets.
  • 2.UK bond yields are rising significantly, approaching 2007 highs, driven by fiscal concerns and potential leadership challenges within the Labour Party.
  • 3.The Riksbank's future policy path may be influenced by a 'divergent view' from Göran Hjelm, who emphasizes supply-side inflation and growth risks over current headline figures.

Table of Contents

  • Global key stories
  • Nordic key stories
  • Today's key events
  • Market data

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Authors

Olle Holmgren

Securities

SPXBrent Crude OilU.S. 10-year TreasuryUK 10-Year GiltXAU

Themes

Geopolitical Escalation (Iran)Political Instability in EuropeCentral Bank Policy Divergence

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesUnited KingdomSweden