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June 29, 2026

Daily Points

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesFXEnergyOther

This report provides a market overview ahead of key economic data releases, including US nonfarm payrolls and Canadian GDP. It highlights rising geopolitical tensions and central bank communications as major market themes.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Tensions in the US-Iran MOU have driven oil prices up, while bond yields have moved slightly higher.
  • 2.The ECB annual Sintra forum commences, with significant policy panel discussions featuring central bank leaders expected on Wednesday.
  • 3.Market focus is on upcoming labor market data, specifically the US nonfarm payrolls for June.

Table of Contents

  • KEY POINTS
  • US-IRAN MOU ON THIN ICE
  • SPANISH CORE CPI WAS AMONG THE WARMEST JUNE READINGS ON RECORD
  • LAGARDE TO KICK OFF SINTRA, WITH WARSH, MACKLEM, AND BAILEY ON TAP
  • GLOBAL WEEK AHEAD PREVIEWS
  • NONFARM PREVIEW
  • CANADIAN GDP—TRACKING THE REBOUND
  • EZ CPI—DID SPAIN OFFER A MISLEADING SIGNAL?
  • CHINA'S PMIS—SLOW GRIND CONTINUES

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Authors

Derek Holt

Securities

WTI CrudeS&P 500

Themes

Central bank policy normalizationGeopolitical instability (US-Iran)US Labor Market resilience

Regions

GlobalEuropeUnited StatesCanadaSpain