Scotiabank
June 18, 2026
Latam Daily: BCCh Decision and MPR Recap
Daily UpdateRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsOther
The Central Bank of Chile held its policy rate at 4.5% in line with market expectations, guiding for a pause until mid-2027. The report highlights downward revisions to GDP growth amid persistent external risks and supply-side shocks.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The Central Bank of Chile (BCCh) kept the policy rate unchanged at 4.5%, with a baseline scenario pointing to a prolonged pause through mid-2027.
- 2.GDP growth forecasts for 2026 were revised down to 1.0–1.75% due to an adverse external environment and a domestic supply shock in the fishing sector.
- 3.The fiscal outlook was revised to a more expansionary stance (+1.2% of GDP), reducing the projected drag on economic growth.
Table of Contents
- Latam Daily: BCCh Decision and MPR Recap
- KEY TAKEAWAYS
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Authors
Juan Manuel HerreraJorge SelaiveEduardo SuárezAníbal Alarcón
Themes
Monetary PolicyFiscal PolicyGeopolitical Risk
Regions
Latin AmericaChile
