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Scotiabank

May 26, 2026

Daily FX Update

Daily UpdateFXCommoditiesRates Govt BondsEnergyOther

The USD is weakening in thin holiday conditions as optimism over a US/Iran deal boosts risk appetite across G10 currencies. Commodity-linked currencies and equities are generally stronger, while oil prices have retreated sharply.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The USD is broadly weak as markets focus on potential US/Iran deal progress amid thin holiday trading volumes.
  • 2.Market sentiment shows increased risk appetite, benefiting high-beta currencies like SEK and AUD.
  • 3.New Fed Chair Warsh's policy stance favors conventional tools and reduced forward guidance, potentially increasing market volatility.

Table of Contents

  • Analyst Team
  • Overview
  • USD Soft In Thin Holiday Conditions W/ Focus On US/Iran Hopes
  • USDCAD (1.3718)
  • USDCAD short-term technicals

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Authors

Shaun OsborneEric Theoret

Securities

USDCADWTI OilXAU

Themes

Geopolitical De-escalation (US/Iran)Central Bank Policy DivergenceFed Leadership Shift

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesCanadaMexico