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MUFG

May 18, 2026

JPY Weekly

Weekly UpdateFXRates Govt BondsCommoditiesOther

USD/JPY climbed to 158.50 this week as global inflation concerns and rising UST yields outweighed measured comments from US Treasury Secretary Bessent. Hawkish signals from BOJ members suggest a potential June rate hike, even as rising JGB yields create a feedback loop with yen weakness.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.USD/JPY rose to 158.50, its highest level since April, driven by rising US yields and geopolitical tensions.
  • 2.US Treasury Secretary Bessent's visit to Japan was measured, avoiding direct pressure on Japanese fiscal or monetary policy.
  • 3.Global inflation concerns are intensifying, with 10y JGB yields reaching their highest levels since 1997 (2.73%).

Table of Contents

  • Week in review
  • Markets move after Treasury Secretary Bessent's visit to Japan
  • Global yields rise as inflation concerns return
  • BOJ turns more hawkish
  • Forecast range

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Authors

Teppei Ino

Securities

USDJPY10-year Japanese Government Bond10-Year US Treasury BondCrude Oil

Themes

Feedback Loop: JPY Weakness & InflationBOJ Policy NormalizationUS-Japan Financial Coordination

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaGlobalJapanUnited StatesChina