MUFG
May 18, 2026
Asia FX Talk: Sharp Rise in Global Bond Yields Weighs on EM Asia Currencies
Market ReportFXRates Govt BondsCommoditiesEnergyFinancials
Global yields and oil prices have surged, driving EM Asian currencies to multi-year or record lows, with the Indian rupee hitting 96/USD. Rising US real yields and the ongoing Strait of Hormuz impasse remain the primary macro headwinds for the region.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Global government yields surged due to high oil prices, fiscal concerns in the US/UK, and the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
- 2.EM Asia currencies, particularly the Indian rupee (INR) which hit a record low, are being squeezed by higher US real yields and elevated energy import costs.
- 3.Brent crude oil prices exceeded $110/bbl following a lack of breakthrough at the Trump-Xi summit regarding the Strait of Hormuz waterway reopening.
Table of Contents
- Market Highlights
- Ahead Today
- CERTIFICATION
- DISCLAIMERS
- Legal entities and branches
- General disclosures
- Country and region specific disclosures
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Authors
Michael Wan
Securities
US 10-Year TreasuryUSDINRCO1USDJPY
Themes
Global Bond RoutGeopolitical Energy DisruptionEmerging Market Resilience Stress
Regions
Asia PacificNorth AmericaEuropeUnited StatesChinaIndia
