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May 26, 2026

Asia FX Talk: First Come First Serve

FX StrategyFXCommoditiesRates Govt BondsEnergy

Asian markets are experiencing a relief rally on potential US-Iran nuclear deal progress, though focus remains on high precautionary energy demand and emerging risks like El-Nino.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Optimism regarding a US-Iran deal has led to a weaker US Dollar and generally stronger Asian currencies.
  • 2.Precautionary energy demand has spiked in Asia, particularly in Thailand, Vietnam, and India, as they secure energy supplies outside the US.
  • 3.Three primary risks facing Asia FX and rates are a potential 'Super El-Nino', unexpected Fed rate hikes, and rising domestic policy uncertainty.

Table of Contents

  • Market Highlights
  • Ahead Today
  • Indicative Rates
  • Disclaimer
  • Certification
  • Disclaimers
  • Legal entities and branches
  • General disclosures
  • Country and region specific disclosures

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Authors

Michael Wan

Securities

CO1USDTHBUSDIDRXAU

Themes

Energy Security in AsiaGeopolitical De-escalation

Regions

Asia PacificMiddle EastThailandIndiaVietnam
Asia FX Strategy: Energy Risks & US-Iran Impact | MUFG | Finvaulta