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MUFG

June 17, 2026

Asia FX Talk

Weekly UpdateFXCommoditiesRates Govt BondsEnergyIndustrials

The report highlights the relief in Asian markets from falling oil prices while emphasizing that the upcoming FOMC meeting's forward guidance remains the key driver for USD and Asian FX direction.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Lower oil prices, driven by eased geopolitical risks in the Strait of Hormuz, are supporting Asian currencies and net oil-importing trade balances.
  • 2.The FOMC meeting is critical for forward guidance; US rate expectations remain sticky, with no dovish repricing observed yet.
  • 3.The Bank of Japan delivered a 25bp hike to 1.00%, signaling continued policy normalization amid rising inflation risks.

Table of Contents

  • Market Highlights
  • Ahead Today
  • INDICATIVE RATES 16-Jun-2026

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Authors

Lloyd Chan

Securities

USDJPYCO1

Themes

Geopolitical De-escalationMonetary Policy Normalization

Regions

Asia PacificJapanUnited StatesThailand