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Morgan Stanley

July 3, 2026

Quant Driven Earnings Ideas

Market ReportEquitiesCommunication ServicesConsumer Discretionary

Morgan Stanley's quantitative research team identifies stocks poised for earnings surprises by integrating MS analyst ratings with a proprietary Earnings Surprise Composite score. The report provides actionable stock lists for the July-August 2026 earnings season.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Earnings Surprise Composite strategy incorporates Earnings Forecast Landscape, Earnings Quality, and Broader Forecast Dynamics.
  • 2.Since 2024, the live performance of the strategy resulted in a pre-cost Sharpe ratio of 1.08 for the US and 1.01 for Europe.

Table of Contents

  • Quant Driven Earnings Ideas – Stocks Poised for Earnings Surprises in July 2026
  • Key Takeaways
  • Live Performance Review
  • Disclosure Section
  • Analyst Certification
  • Global Research Conflict Management Policy
  • Important Regulatory Disclosures on Subject Companies
  • STOCK RATINGS
  • Global Stock Ratings Distribution
  • Analyst Stock Ratings
  • Analyst Industry Views
  • Important Disclosures for Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC Customers
  • Other Important Disclosures

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Authors

Ronald HoStephan M KesslerRakhi AroraStephan HellerUkyo Haraguchi

Securities

C.NUNHSAN.MC

Themes

Earnings Surprise ForecastingQuantamental Investment Strategy

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUnited StatesSpainFrance