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Mizuho Securities

June 16, 2026

US-Iran Agreement and BOJ Hawkish Messaging

Macro ThematicRates Govt BondsFXEnergy

The BOJ is expected to raise rates to 1.00% at its upcoming meeting. The recent US-Iran peace agreement could shift market perception of BOJ communications, potentially leading to a stronger yen.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to raise the policy rate from 0.75% to 1.00% and halt further JGB purchase tapering.
  • 2.The recent US-Iran agreement may cause the market to perceive otherwise 'normally hawkish' BOJ messaging as slightly more hawkish than previously anticipated.

Table of Contents

  • US-Iran agreement may have altered market perceptions of what constitutes "hawkish" BOJ meeting
  • Could agreement alter impact of "normally hawkish" messaging on financial markets?
  • Important Disclosure Information
  • Analyst Certification
  • Disclaimer

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