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Mizuho Securities

June 26, 2026

Review of Fiscal Management, Tax Cut, and Monetary Policy

Macro ThematicRates Govt BondsOther

Mizuho Securities reviews the draft Japanese economic policy blueprint, highlighting a fiscal focus on debt-to-GDP reduction and ongoing deliberations regarding consumption tax cuts. The report suggests the Bank of Japan will likely proceed with gradual rate hikes of 0.25% every six months, targeting a terminal rate of 1.50%.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The Japanese government is drafting an economic policy blueprint focusing on fiscal sustainability and growth, with market attention on funding for potential tax reforms.
  • 2.The Bank of Japan is expected to maintain a cautious pace of rate hikes, likely once every six months, with a terminal rate expectation of 1.50%.

Table of Contents

  • Review of fiscal management, tax cut, and monetary policy ahead of economic policy blueprint release
  • Important Disclosure Information
  • Analyst Certification
  • Disclaimer

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