Mizuho Securities
May 18, 2026
BOJ Policy Board Members and Potential June Rate Hike
Macro ThematicRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsOther
Mizuho expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates in June 2026, driven by a growing hawkish consensus among rank-and-file policy board members.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Mizuho maintains a base-case scenario for a BOJ rate hike in June 2026.
- 2.A hawkish shift among 'rank-and-file' board members could create a majority to pressure the more cautious leadership team.
- 3.Upcoming speeches, particularly by Junko Koeda on May 21, are critical signals for the June policy decision.
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Authors
Yusuke Matsuo
Securities
BoJ Policy Rate
Themes
Monetary Policy NormalizationBOJ Board Internal Dynamics
Regions
Asia PacificJapan
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