Multi-Asset Strategy Daily

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesFXInformation Technology

The report highlights a market shift towards pricing a weaker US labour market, driving yield curve steepening. Focus is also placed on the ECB's September stance and the Gilt market's holiday-mode consolidation.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Softer US labour market data leads the market to dial back July rate hike pricing and Fed tightening expectations.
  • 2.10Y UST yields are expected to remain in the post-FOMC range of 4.40-4.55%.
  • 3.ECB policy outlook depends on fading oil shocks and balanced growth/inflation risks, with key officials' rhetoric in focus for September.

Table of Contents

  • USD
  • EUR
  • GBP
  • JPY

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Authors

Evelyne Gomez

Securities

10Y US TreasuryUSDJPYWTI Crude Oil

Themes

Geopolitical risk mitigationLabor market coolingYield curve steepening

Regions

North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesJapanFrance