Mizuho International
July 3, 2026
Multi-Asset Strategy Daily
Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesFXInformation Technology
The report highlights a market shift towards pricing a weaker US labour market, driving yield curve steepening. Focus is also placed on the ECB's September stance and the Gilt market's holiday-mode consolidation.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Softer US labour market data leads the market to dial back July rate hike pricing and Fed tightening expectations.
- 2.10Y UST yields are expected to remain in the post-FOMC range of 4.40-4.55%.
- 3.ECB policy outlook depends on fading oil shocks and balanced growth/inflation risks, with key officials' rhetoric in focus for September.
Table of Contents
- USD
- EUR
- GBP
- JPY
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Authors
Evelyne Gomez
Securities
10Y US TreasuryUSDJPYWTI Crude Oil
Themes
Geopolitical risk mitigationLabor market coolingYield curve steepening
Regions
North AmericaEuropeUKUnited StatesJapanFrance
