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JPMorganChase

June 25, 2026

G10 FX Daily Report

Daily UpdateFXCommoditiesRates Govt BondsEnergyInformation Technology

The report highlights persistent USD strength driven by month-end rebalancing flows, despite softening energy prices and yields. The author maintains a cautious, neutral stance while awaiting July US labor and inflation data.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US dollar remains supported by month-end rebalancing flows and hawkish market narratives despite recent weakness in oil prices and government bond yields.
  • 2.The author is tactically neutral/cautious on the USD in the short term, preferring to wait for upcoming US payrolls and CPI data before increasing risk.
  • 3.Energy price volatility (oil) is impacting commodity-linked currencies like CAD, NOK, and AUD, leading to a defensive stance or exit from previous long positions.

Table of Contents

  • FUR
  • JPY
  • CHF
  • AUD
  • NZD
  • CAD

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Authors

Laoise Ni Thighearnaigh

Securities

USDCHFUSDJPYUSD/CAD

Themes

Month-end rebalancingUSD StrengthEnergy price impact on commodity currencies

Regions

Asia PacificEuropeUnited StatesJapanSwitzerland