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J.P. Morgan

May 12, 2026

G10 FX Daily Report

Daily UpdateFXMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesFinancialsEnergy

G10 FX markets are dominated by UK political turmoil surrounding PM Starmer and anticipation of a hot US CPI print. Analysts are favoring CHF as a funder and looking for opportunities in AUD and NOK against weaker crosses like CAD and SEK.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Sterling (GBP) is under significant downward pressure as UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces an internal leadership challenge with over 80 MPs calling for his resignation.
  • 2.The market is heavily focused on the upcoming US CPI print; a 'hot' reading is expected to shift the Fed's focus back toward price stability.
  • 3.The Swiss Franc (CHF) is increasingly being used as a funding currency (carry trade) due to SNB pushback against currency strength.

Table of Contents

  • EUR
  • GBP
  • JPY
  • CHF
  • AUD/CAD
  • NOK/SEK

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Authors

Laoise Ni Thighearnaigh

Securities

EURUSDUSDJPYGBPUSDUSDCHFEURNOKNOKSEK

Themes

UK Political InstabilityCentral Bank Policy DivergenceMiddle East Geopolitical Risk

Regions

EuropeNorth AmericaAsia PacificUnited KingdomUnited StatesJapan