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May 15, 2026

Australia vs Global Equities: Valuation and Earnings Growth

Market ReportEquitiesEnergyMaterials

This Jefferies report analyzes Australian equity strategy as of May 2026, comparing ASX 200 performance, valuation, and earnings revisions against major global indices.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The ASX 200 is significantly underperforming global peers YTD, returning -1.0% compared to the Nikkei 225 (+21.5%) and Nasdaq (+17.2%).
  • 2.Earnings revisions in the Energy sector have been exceptionally strong, showing a 90.3% upgrade over the last 3 months, whereas Health Care faces significant downgrades of -12.6%.
  • 3.ASX 200 Resources stocks are trading at a discount with a PE of 14.4x FY1 despite a robust EPS growth forecast of 37.0% for the first fiscal year.

Table of Contents

  • S&P/ASX 200 Price-Earnings Ratio
  • Australian Market FY26 Earnings Revisions
  • STRATEGY NOTE
  • PE, EVM, DPS, EPS Growth & Yield By Market (Global Indices)
  • PE, EVM, DPS, EPS Growth & Yield By Market (ASX Sector Indices)
  • Jefferies Equity Coverage
  • Analyst qualitative assessments summary
  • Industry structures
  • Regulation
  • Capex Expectations
  • AUDUSD Exposure
  • Equity issuance
  • Outlook
  • Jefferies vs consensus
  • Buybacks
  • Company Valuation/Risks
  • Analyst Certification
  • Investment Recommendation Record
  • Company Specific Disclosures
  • Explanation of Jefferies Ratings
  • Valuation Methodology
  • Jefferies Franchise Picks
  • Risks which may impede the achievement of our Price Target
  • Other Companies Mentioned in This Report

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Authors

Stephen Blagg

Securities

AS51BHPCBASPXDRO

Themes

Valuation DispersionGlobal Relative ValueEarnings Upgrade/Downgrade Cycles

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaEuropeAustraliaUnited StatesJapan