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ING Bank N.V.

July 3, 2026

The Commodities Feed

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEnergyMaterials

Commodity prices are under pressure as supply flows from the Middle East normalize. Meanwhile, gold has gained appeal as weak US labor data softens expectations for Federal Reserve policy tightening.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Oil prices are declining as flows through the Strait of Hormuz normalize, increasing supply.
  • 2.Aluminium prices are falling as the geopolitical risk premium wanes due to production restarts at EGA's Al Taweelah smelter.
  • 3.Gold prices rallied following weak US jobs data, which cooled market expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes.

Table of Contents

  • Energy - Brent curve reflects improving supply picture
  • Metals – Aluminium under pressure after EGA update

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Authors

Warren PattersonEwa Manthey

Securities

ICE BrentHenry HubLME Aluminium

Themes

Central bank gold accumulationGeopolitical risk premium unwinding

Regions

Middle EastAsia PacificUnited StatesPolandChina