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June 12, 2026

GEMs in the Week

Weekly UpdateEquitiesRates CreditFXOther

This report evaluates EM monetary policy expectations, finding that the bias has normalized and current rate hike pricing is broadly fair. It also tracks weekly EM asset performance amidst Middle East tensions.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.EM central bank rate hike expectations have normalized, making current market pricing look broadly fair.
  • 2.EM equities underperformed developed markets this week amid Middle East conflict tensions.

Table of Contents

  • Biased expectations in monetary policy
  • DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMER
  • Multi-Asset Emerging Markets
  • Performance this week
  • Equity
  • Fixed Income
  • FX
  • EM Relative Performance
  • EM Performance: YTD total return breakdown
  • Correlations
  • Global Indicators
  • EM Activity
  • EM Inflation
  • EM Monetary Policy
  • Global Monetary Policy and Financial Conditions
  • EM Sentiment and Positioning
  • CTA positioning
  • EM Valuations
  • EM Earnings
  • EM Carry-to-volatility ratios
  • Total Financial Flows
  • Monitoring Japanese Flows

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Authors

Ali CakirogluEdward ParkerRamya R SRohit Mehboobani

Securities

USD

Themes

Monetary Policy NormalizationMiddle East Geopolitical Risk

Regions

Asia PacificLatin AmericaMiddle EastIndonesiaColombiaMexico