The report evaluates the impact of potential US-Iran geopolitical de-escalation on Asian currencies against a backdrop of persistent trade shocks and strong US data. Analysts favor RMB and TWD while viewing THB and SGD as potential funding currencies.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Near-term friction remains for some Asian currencies due to persistent oil prices, US data strength, and domestic political issues.
- 2.Preference for RMB and TWD; remain patient on KRW and MYR.
- 3.THB and SGD are identified as potential funding currencies due to low yields.
Table of Contents
- Asian FX Focus
- Currencies EM Asia
- Disclosures & Disclaimer
- Disclosure appendix
- Important disclosures
- Foreign exchange: Basis for financial analysis
- Definitions for currency trades on DFs and NDFs
- Distribution of currency trades
- Additional disclosures
- Production & distribution disclosures
- Disclaimer
- Global FX Research Team
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Authors
Joey ChewJingyang ChenPaul Mackel
Themes
Geopolitical De-escalationTerms of Trade ShockUS Exceptionalism
Regions
Asia PacificUnited StatesIndiaIndonesia