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July 7, 2026

EU-China Trade Tensions

Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyIndustrials

EU-China trade tensions are rising amid a large bilateral trade deficit and European concerns over competitive threats. The two sides have entered a three-month window of cooperation to address these issues before the next ministerial meeting in October.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.EU-China trade tensions have escalated, with the EU running a EUR376bn annual goods trade deficit with China.
  • 2.The EU and China have agreed to cooperate on trade monitoring and will reconvene in October 2026 to avoid further escalation.
  • 3.The EU is implementing protective measures like the Industrial Accelerator Act, potential plug-in hybrid tariffs, and cybersecurity restrictions on Chinese firms.

Table of Contents

  • EU-China trade tensions
  • What was agreed at the June meeting?
  • EV tariffs...more to come?
  • The Industrial Accelerator Act
  • Supply-chain diversification
  • Revised Cybersecurity Act
  • There's always the bazooka
  • Timetable for using the ACI
  • EU members want different approaches
  • Watch out for retaliation
  • What will happen in October?

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Authors

Shanella RajanayagamFrederic NeumannMichael Tyndall

Themes

EU-China Trade WarTrade & Capital Flows

Regions

EuropeChinaGermanyFrance