Reflections and Insights

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The report analyzes the profound shift in global order caused by conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, emphasizing a transition from U.S. hegemony toward regional resilience.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The perception of U.S. hegemony is shifting from 'invincible' to 'unreliable,' prompting global allies to seek greater resilience and independent alliances.
  • 2.Resilience will be a dominant investment theme for the next decade, focusing on securing supply chains and energy independence among like-minded nations.
  • 3.Energy transition in net-importing countries is likely to accelerate due to supply shocks and price hikes caused by the Iranian conflict.

Table of Contents

  • A BROADENING OF ALLIANCES
  • RESILIENCE AS AN INVESTMENT THEME
  • Endnotes

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Authors

Steve Bates

Securities

NVDAExxoniPhoneU.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS)

Themes

Deglobalization and ResilienceEnergy TransitionShifting Geopolitical Hegemony

Regions

Middle EastEuropeNorth AmericaUnited StatesChinaIran